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As of Sunday night, Federico Fico Gutierrez is the most stable candidate for president in Colombia. While his name appears on the electoral roll for the first times as Medellin’s mayor and councilor it’s his first time during national elections. He won over 2 million votes with the Team for Colombia alliance. These voters place him as the most popular candidate of the conservative movements. Fico (47 years old) is currently the primary opposition of Gustavo Petro. His victory in the Historic Pact movement made him one of the most prominent political figures in Colombia.

The presidential campaign is just beginning and the future of former Medellin mayor in Medellin will depend on the alliances he builds and the agreements he enters into. He will need to unify the right and also conquer the center electorate, which was apathetic and without a strong leader on Sunday. To accomplish this, he will have to keep avoiding, exactly the way he has been with AlvaroUribe in the same picture. Today, for only the second time in 20 years it is clear that the support for Uribism rather than adding might subtract. “Federico Gutierrez faces a dilemma. He will need to form an alliance with the Democratic Center (CD), Uribe’s political party. However, he will have to convince the center which has to decide where it goes,” Yann Basset from the University of Rosario, analyst and professor.

Fico has won its first victory this week on its path to a pledge of allegiance to the CD. The party’s candidate until this Monday, former president candidate Oscar Ivan Zuluaga, took a step aside, recognized the few opportunities to compete with him and provided his support. Now will be fascinating to see if Uribismo’s entire group, which is now without a representative, follows his example. Uribe is seen clearly supporting the cause and trying to convince his voters that he’s in favor of the Colombian right. The speech he delivered of “security”, “order”, “opportunities” and “love of the country” already demonstrated that he adds votes. As he did during his stint in the Antioquia mayor’s office, he confirmed it with the consultation on elections. When he was on a recent trip to Arauca which has been particularly difficult hit by violence He said that the bandits are in jail or in graves. Fico is very conscious of the Colombian right’s choices, but that will not suffice for him.

“We aren’t in the year 2018 where the fear of the left worked well, this time the electorate is not affected by fear,” Basset points out. Basset’s analyst suggests that Fico may not receive Uribe’s approval due to the fact that Alvaro Uribe has lost his leadership position from 2002, when he was elected president. Although this does not mean that the votes of Uribismo regardless of whether they are below the table aren’t important to Gutierrez like what happened on Sunday or during his first attempt to get into the office of the mayor of Medellin, when Uribe supported him even over the candidate of his party. Uribism helped in the win in the coalition. Basset warnsthat “Now his skill as a negotiator [winning in the coalition] is measured: to convince right, and not to spend all on that alliance.” In relation to this alliance between the former president and Fico, an analyst Andres Mejia Vergnaud says “the biggest problem for Federico Gutierrez is that he wants the votes of Uribismo, but without the image of Uribe as it doesn’t suit him to be his candidate”.

Gustavo Petro is the only left-wing leader But Gustavo Petro is the only one on the right. Fico, if he can negotiate, will convince him to provide his backing and take a step back. Rodolfo Hernández, who was uninvolved, is still in contest. Gutierrez will need to include former Bucaramanga mayor, millionaire and builder on his list of accomplishments if he wishes to end petrismo.

Gutierrez has a lot to accomplish before he can even consider possible presidential formula names, but he has the support of other candidates in the Team for Colombia coalition. It’s not a small number of people. Two former mayors, Enrique Penalosa in Bogota and Alex Char in Barranquilla, are also with him. David Barguil is the leader of the Conservative party. Aydee Lizarazo is a Christian party member who is able to vote in accordance with the church’s lectern.

Apart from the stronger Conservative Party (which won the most votes of right-wing groups for Congress and more than two million votes) Additionally, it is supported by the sympathy of the U Party, which had an impressive vote in the legislative with just under 1 million votes. Oscar Ivan Zuluaga backed Fico. Zuluaga did NOT have to wait until the results of Sunday’s election to announce his defeat. Alvaro Uribe from the past was the party’s leader who summoned his party to a gathering on Tuesday night, suggested that Fico could risk his chances of becoming a leader in the center party in exchange for being publicly blessed with Uribe.